tkpwaeub

Results 14 comments of tkpwaeub

If they're trying to represent probabilities then the cap should actually be 1-(1/e) where e is Euler's constant (2.71828...) or approximately 63%. That's still not really an upper limit, just...

Ok but please note that this isn't really how probability works. If you roll a million sided die a million times the chance of getting a 19 on one of...

Um, do you really need a mathematical model for this? You can live your life with wild abandon without having to calculate odds of catching Covid. If you're trying to...

It should also be noted that for the scenario in question - close to a million microcovids - the actual probability that you alproach is 1-(1/e) or approximately 63%.

The best way to think about a certain number of negative tests is that it "shuffles the deck". For instance, if you're playing a card game where drawing the two...

I'm not sure how much sense it makes to "annualize". As far as planning a long term strategy, it might make sense, but in the long run this is basically...

Maybe compare it counting the number of times you roll a million sided die - and give examples of how to compute the probability of eventually rolling a 19? I...

Right, that's why the difference should be clearly explained. Number of rolls divided by number of sides of the die really isn't the same as probability, except for a relatively...

I'm sure that the Plover dictionary will be happy to greet that blossom of snow.

Similar problem for me. I'm using a Macbook Pro, and Stentura 400 SRT, and the most recent release of Plover. In addition to the long pause, Plover will sometimes lose...