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loo R package for approximate leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) and Pareto smoothed importance sampling (PSIS)

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Currently, mcse_elpd_loo is computed by assuming the pointwise mcse's to be independent. As the same MC draws are used for each pointwise PSIS weights, the weights are correlated and this...

feature

Fixes #236 1. Uses the recommended h-specific Pareto-k approach 2. Uses type specific h when computing Pareto-k 3. Documents the used h-specific Pareto-k approach in the doc 4. Uses `posterior::pareto_khat`,...

1. @sethaxen pointed out that E_loo h-specific khat diagnostic is using the old approach `sqrt(1 + h_theta^2) * r_theta`, while the Appendix E of 2022 version of PSIS paper recommends...

I just discovered `crps`! This is great, I was actually asking about how to compare probabilistic vs non-probabilistic predictions https://discourse.mc-stan.org/t/comparison-of-machine-learning-models-and-bayesian-models/30833 and this is exactly what I needed. I just noticed...

I think it would make sense to ask the user for only one argument with predictions with at least two columns and split the predictions array. (Also in #221). In...

I noticed that there might be an inconsistency in the Pareto k-values between different approaches for standard importance sampling (SIS): ```r library(loo) log_ratios

If the user already has a psis object then `loo_predictive_metric` and `loo_[s]crps` could use that object instead of rerunning psis internally (similar to what `E_loo` already does, except in this...

Currently `loo_moment_match` only works on `stanfit` objects (due to the reliance on the `log_prob` methods from `rstan`), but not `CmdStanFit` or just a matrix of draws (see e.g. #209). I...

Julia is generally a much faster language than R, especially when doing lots of computations. Given that JuliaCall lets you use Julia very easily from within R, I'm wondering if...

I am working on a model averaging problem with [very simple models](https://wlandau.github.io/historicalborrow/articles/methods.html#independent-model), and I am getting intermittently high Pareto k values even on simple well-behaved simulated datasets. I would like...