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Add `ShiftedBetaGeometric` Distribution

Open ColtAllen opened this issue 6 months ago • 3 comments

A discrete time-to-event distribution originally developed for contract renewals, with extensions for static covariates and even expected residual lifetimes and retention elasticities.

This distribution would be very useful for CLV cohort studies as outlined in https://github.com/pymc-labs/pymc-marketing/issues/169

ColtAllen avatar Aug 30 '25 03:08 ColtAllen

I don't think this makes sense in pymc-extras. It's too specific and fine in pymc-marketing? Any reason why you wanted to add it here?

ricardoV94 avatar Sep 06 '25 21:09 ricardoV94

The research paper listed several non-marketing applications for this model, so it seemed general enough to add here. Otherwise I'm indifferent.

ColtAllen avatar Sep 11 '25 14:09 ColtAllen

Closing because although this distribution is generalized in application, it has several post-inference derivations that make more sense to bundle into a dedicated model in pymc-marketing.

ColtAllen avatar Oct 17 '25 06:10 ColtAllen