bug: Installing statsmodel 0.13.2 (fixed dependency) fails on python 3.11.

[laqua-stack]

Trying to install statsmodels==0.13.2 fails on python 3.11.

This is likely related to https://github.com/statsmodels/statsmodels/issues/8868.

Error log

```shell Collecting statsmodels==0.13.2 (from autorad==0.2.6) Downloading statsmodels-0.13.2.tar.gz (17.9 MB) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 17.9/17.9 MB 67.7 MB/s eta 0:00:00 Installing build dependencies ... done Getting requirements to build wheel ... error error: subprocess-exited-with-error

× Getting requirements to build wheel did not run successfully. │ exit code: 1 ╰─> [151 lines of output] :19: DeprecationWarning: pkg_resources is deprecated as an API. See https://setuptools.pypa.io/en/latest/pkg_resources.html :218: DeprecationWarning:

    `numpy.distutils` is deprecated since NumPy 1.23.0, as a result
    of the deprecation of `distutils` itself. It will be removed for
    Python >= 3.12. For older Python versions it will remain present.
    It is recommended to use `setuptools < 60.0` for those Python versions.
    For more details, see:
      https://numpy.org/devdocs/reference/distutils_status_migration.html
  
  
  
  Error compiling Cython file:
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  ...
      # smooth
      for i in range(n):
          prev = (n+i-1) % n
  
          # s[t-m] = xhat[prev, 2+m-1]
          yhat[i] = (xhat[prev, 0] * xhat[prev, 1]**phi) + xhat[prev, 2+m-1]
                                                         ^
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  
  statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx:156:55: Cannot assign type 'npy_float64 complex' to 'float64_t' (alias of 'double')
  
  Error compiling Cython file:
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  ...
  
          # s[t-m] = xhat[prev, 2+m-1]
          yhat[i] = (xhat[prev, 0] * xhat[prev, 1]**phi) + xhat[prev, 2+m-1]
          # l_t = a * (y_t - s_t-m) + (1-a) * (l_t-1 * b_t-1**phi)
          xhat[i, 0] = (alpha * (y[i] - xhat[prev, 2+m-1])
                        + (1 - alpha) * (xhat[prev, 0] * xhat[prev, 1]**phi))
                        ^
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  
  statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx:159:22: Cannot assign type 'npy_float64 complex' to 'float64_t' (alias of 'double')
  
  Error compiling Cython file:
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  ...
          # l_t = a * (y_t - s_t-m) + (1-a) * (l_t-1 * b_t-1**phi)
          xhat[i, 0] = (alpha * (y[i] - xhat[prev, 2+m-1])
                        + (1 - alpha) * (xhat[prev, 0] * xhat[prev, 1]**phi))
          # b_t = (b*) * (l_t / l_t-1) + (1 - (b*)) * b_t-1**phi
          xhat[i, 1] = (beta_star * (xhat[i, 0] / xhat[prev, 0])
                        + (1 - beta_star) * xhat[prev, 1]**phi)
                        ^
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  
  statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx:162:22: Cannot assign type 'npy_float64 complex' to 'float64_t' (alias of 'double')
  
  Error compiling Cython file:
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  ...
      # smooth
      for i in range(n):
          prev = (n+i-1) % n
  
          # s[t-m] = xhat[prev, 2+m-1]
          yhat[i] = (xhat[prev, 0] * xhat[prev, 1]**phi) * xhat[prev, 2+m-1]
                                                         ^
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  
  statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx:191:55: Cannot assign type 'npy_float64 complex' to 'float64_t' (alias of 'double')
  
  Error compiling Cython file:
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  ...
  
          # s[t-m] = xhat[prev, 2+m-1]
          yhat[i] = (xhat[prev, 0] * xhat[prev, 1]**phi) * xhat[prev, 2+m-1]
          # l_t = a * (y_t / s_t-m) + (1-a) * (l_t-1 * b_t-1**phi)
          xhat[i, 0] = (alpha * (y[i] / xhat[prev, 2+m-1])
                        + (1 - alpha) * (xhat[prev, 0] * xhat[prev, 1]**phi))
                        ^
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  
  statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx:194:22: Cannot assign type 'npy_float64 complex' to 'float64_t' (alias of 'double')
  
  Error compiling Cython file:
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  ...
          # l_t = a * (y_t / s_t-m) + (1-a) * (l_t-1 * b_t-1**phi)
          xhat[i, 0] = (alpha * (y[i] / xhat[prev, 2+m-1])
                        + (1 - alpha) * (xhat[prev, 0] * xhat[prev, 1]**phi))
          # b_t = (b*) * (l_t / l_t-1) + (1 - (b*)) * b_t-1**phi
          xhat[i, 1] = (beta_star * (xhat[i, 0] / xhat[prev, 0])
                        + (1 - beta_star) * xhat[prev, 1]**phi)
                        ^
  ------------------------------------------------------------
  
  statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx:197:22: Cannot assign type 'npy_float64 complex' to 'float64_t' (alias of 'double')
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/_stl.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/holtwinters/_exponential_smoothers.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/_innovations.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/regime_switching/_hamilton_filter.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/regime_switching/_kim_smoother.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/innovations/_arma_innovations.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/nonparametric/linbin.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/robust/_qn.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/nonparametric/_smoothers_lowess.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_initialization.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_representation.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_kalman_filter.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_filters/_conventional.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_filters/_inversions.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_filters/_univariate.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_filters/_univariate_diffuse.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_kalman_smoother.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_smoothers/_alternative.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_smoothers/_classical.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_smoothers/_conventional.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_smoothers/_univariate.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_smoothers/_univariate_diffuse.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_simulation_smoother.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_cfa_simulation_smoother.pyx because it changed.
  Compiling statsmodels/tsa/statespace/_tools.pyx because it changed.
  [ 1/26] Cythonizing statsmodels/nonparametric/_smoothers_lowess.pyx
  [ 2/26] Cythonizing statsmodels/nonparametric/linbin.pyx
  [ 3/26] Cythonizing statsmodels/robust/_qn.pyx
  [ 4/26] Cythonizing statsmodels/tsa/_innovations.pyx
  [ 5/26] Cythonizing statsmodels/tsa/_stl.pyx
  [ 6/26] Cythonizing statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx
  Traceback (most recent call last):
    File "/home/flaqua/.conda/envs/umm-nieren/lib/python3.11/site-packages/pip/_vendor/pyproject_hooks/_in_process/_in_process.py", line 353, in <module>
      main()
    File "/home/flaqua/.conda/envs/umm-nieren/lib/python3.11/site-packages/pip/_vendor/pyproject_hooks/_in_process/_in_process.py", line 335, in main
      json_out['return_val'] = hook(**hook_input['kwargs'])
                               ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
    File "/home/flaqua/.conda/envs/umm-nieren/lib/python3.11/site-packages/pip/_vendor/pyproject_hooks/_in_process/_in_process.py", line 118, in get_requires_for_build_wheel
      return hook(config_settings)
             ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
    File "/tmp/pip-build-env-_wel6lhq/overlay/lib/python3.11/site-packages/setuptools/build_meta.py", line 325, in get_requires_for_build_wheel
      return self._get_build_requires(config_settings, requirements=['wheel'])
             ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
    File "/tmp/pip-build-env-_wel6lhq/overlay/lib/python3.11/site-packages/setuptools/build_meta.py", line 295, in _get_build_requires
      self.run_setup()
    File "/tmp/pip-build-env-_wel6lhq/overlay/lib/python3.11/site-packages/setuptools/build_meta.py", line 487, in run_setup
      super().run_setup(setup_script=setup_script)
    File "/tmp/pip-build-env-_wel6lhq/overlay/lib/python3.11/site-packages/setuptools/build_meta.py", line 311, in run_setup
      exec(code, locals())
    File "<string>", line 344, in <module>
    File "/tmp/pip-build-env-_wel6lhq/overlay/lib/python3.11/site-packages/Cython/Build/Dependencies.py", line 1154, in cythonize
      cythonize_one(*args)
    File "/tmp/pip-build-env-_wel6lhq/overlay/lib/python3.11/site-packages/Cython/Build/Dependencies.py", line 1321, in cythonize_one
      raise CompileError(None, pyx_file)
  Cython.Compiler.Errors.CompileError: statsmodels/tsa/exponential_smoothing/_ets_smooth.pyx
  [end of output]

note: This error originates from a subprocess, and is likely not a problem with pip.

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