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Baseline Crossing analysis - update and impact

Open misilva73 opened this issue 3 years ago • 0 comments

In a previous issue (#10), we estimated when a baseline crossing was expected to occur, assuming the market conditions at the time. Since the analysis was performed (around July 2022), the market conditions have shifted significantly, with a slowdown in onboarding.

Having this in mind, we need to reassess our expectations of when a Baseline crossing event is expected to happen and do a deeper analysis of the expected impact of such an event on circulating supply and SP's profitability.

The main tasks are the following:

  • [ ] Redo Baseline Crossing prediction with newer assumptions for onboarding - does this change the baseline crossing dates significantly?
  • [ ] Complete milestone 3:
    • [ ] Review the circulating supply model and fix pending issues
    • [ ] Run simulation for circulating supply and document the impact of baseline crossing
    • [ ] Review ROI model
    • [ ] Run simulation for ROI and document the impact of baseline crossing
    • [ ] Share code and analysis with the community

For context, the documentation of the previous analysis can be found here and the code can be found here

misilva73 avatar Oct 13 '22 11:10 misilva73