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Modeling and simulations for the 2022 FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup 2022

Modeling and simulation of the 2022 FIFA World Cup

Model Script

  • fit_model.R: Estimates Bayesian bivariate Poisson model. For more details, see Equation (2) of Benz and Lopez, 2021.

Simulations

  • run_sim.R: Run 10,000 simulations of the tournament
  • helpers.R: Helper functions for sims.
  • game_preds.R Save out predictions for indivdual games.

Data

Data (internation_soccer_score.csv) courtesy Kaggle.

Flag figures courtesy of Flaticon.

Pre-Tournament Predictions

sim-results

Previous Tournaments

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Metadata

Modeling and simulations for the 2022 FIFA World Cup

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