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BuildProphet - Consistency of output
Prophet Model
- [ ] predict function with simple=False returns 16 columns. See if this needs to be made consistent with the statistical models from statsmodels which return only 4 columns (mean, std err, lower ci, upper ci)
- [ ] Index is called
dsin prophet and<ts_column>name in statsmodels. Need to make consistent.
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Predictions with Best Model (Prophet)
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Building Forecast dataframe. Forecast Period = 8
Building Forecast dataframe. Forecast Period = 8
Building Forecast dataframe. Forecast Period = 8
Building Forecast dataframe. Forecast Period = 8
Building Forecast dataframe. Forecast Period = 8
ds trend ... multiplicative_terms_upper yhat
40 2014-04-30 651.843432 ... 0.0 749.061242
41 2014-05-31 657.531354 ... 0.0 751.077262
42 2014-06-30 663.035794 ... 0.0 796.892366
43 2014-07-31 668.723715 ... 0.0 783.206733
44 2014-08-31 674.411637 ... 0.0 689.698130
45 2014-09-30 679.916077 ... 0.0 595.713426
46 2014-10-31 685.603998 ... 0.0 569.486600
47 2014-11-30 691.108439 ... 0.0 635.884371
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Predictions with SARIMAX Model
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Sales mean mean_se mean_ci_lower mean_ci_upper
2013-09-01 803.316737 57.933329 689.769498 916.863976
2013-10-01 762.460940 79.971766 605.719158 919.202722
2013-11-01 718.358193 96.253327 529.705138 907.011248
2013-12-01 711.421305 96.180308 522.911365 899.931245
2014-01-01 719.362546 98.272104 526.752761 911.972331
2014-02-01 732.709819 100.930940 534.888812 930.530825
2014-03-01 747.576454 102.978924 545.741472 949.411437
2014-04-01 762.473494 104.292923 558.063121 966.883867
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Predictions with VAR Model
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Sales mean mean_se mean_ci_lower mean_ci_upper
2013-09-01 741.377909 61.808346 620.235777 862.520040
2013-10-01 676.233419 90.153283 499.536231 852.930608
2013-11-01 615.538721 105.173723 409.402012 821.675430
2013-12-01 571.797729 111.305204 353.643538 789.951919
2014-01-01 546.952783 113.044924 325.388803 768.516763
2014-02-01 537.342231 113.342418 315.195173 759.489289
2014-03-01 537.474487 113.443588 315.129140 759.819834
2014-04-01 542.307393 113.595165 319.664960 764.949825
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I will take care of this. This is for my tracking only.
Fixed