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Features : more information like quantile etc...

Open tgiordan opened this issue 4 years ago • 3 comments

Hello, Thank you for the tools. It would be really interesting too have more information like quantile/ probability of rising/decreasing.

Thank you.

tgiordan avatar Apr 14 '20 21:04 tgiordan

I am happy to implement this if you can prove to me this would be necessary and easy to understand.

I mean, I am not an expert with probability charts, but I do not want to show information that is hard to understand. Please understand this tool is aimed for everyone.

elxris avatar Apr 20 '20 02:04 elxris

I'm new to turnip price. I read some information and I could complete my idea. If I understand well :

  • there are some pattern: small pike, decreasing... And each of theme as a probability (cf https://turnipprophet.io/)
  • based on previous pattern you can have some price (Exemple : between 96 and 142). I don't know if every number in this range have the same probability or not.

So for example. I want to know what are the chance of selling my turnip 142. Probability should be something like : Probability_of_small_pike * probability_of_gettint_142_in_small_pike + probability_of_decreasing*probability_of_getting_142_in_decreasing +....

What the point of such a feature? Currently you know that you can get a better price the next day, but are there good chance to get a better price? If there is only 5% of chance to get a better price I should probably buy right know.

I'm not and expert of web design but maybe a small message saying " you got x% of chance of getting better tomorrow", or an input where the user can give what price he want at least, and there is a calculation of his chance of having it.

Is there somewhere an explanation of the algorithm? Maybe I can give the formula in order to get the probability.

tgiordan avatar Apr 20 '20 18:04 tgiordan

Please review this comment: https://github.com/elxris/Turnip-Calculator/issues/115#issuecomment-629938533 and let me know what you think.

elxris avatar May 18 '20 04:05 elxris