Total Success too Low

[ChefNiko]

First off, I don't know what is meant by "Total Success" in this context, so apologies if I am misunderstanding.

Required Information

Class: Alchemist Level: 53 Craftsmanship: 450 Control: 419 CP: 358 Recipe Name: Holy Water Recipe Level:52 Solver Seed: (Look at the top of the Execution Log on the Solver page) 219528

Expected Behaviour

Total Success: 100%

(Example: Standard Synthesis progress is 42)

Actual Behaviour

Total Success: 14%

(Example: Standard Synthesis progress is 38)

Steps To Reproduce

Use custom steps for sim. Cannot fail to produce the item as Progress is more than required. Note result shows 100% success rate. Even minimum HQ rate is higher than Total Success.

Monte Carlo Result of 10000 runs

                                DUR    CP      QUA   PRG   HQ%

Expected Value: 0 0 6149.3 313.0 97.8

Median Value: 0 0 6151.0 313.0 100.0

Min Value: 0 0 3456.0 313.0 25.0

Max Value: 0 0 14942.0 313.0 100.0

Success Rate: 100.0 %

Monte Carlo Random Example

Action DUR CP QUA PRG IQ WWYW CTL QINC BPRG BQUA WAC Cond S/F

0 40 358 2576 0 0 0 419 0 0 0 0 Normal 0 1 Comfort Zone 40 292 2576 0 0 0 419 0 0 0 0 Normal 1 2 Inner Quiet 40 282 2576 0 0 0 419 0 0 0 0 Normal 1 3 Careful Synthesis II 30 290 2576 142 0 0 419 0 142 0 0 Normal 1 4 Steady Hand II 30 273 2576 142 0 0 419 0 0 0 0 Good 1 5 Hasty Touch 20 281 2847 142 1 0 419 271 0 181 0 Normal 1 6 Manipulation 20 201 2847 142 1 0 503 0 0 0 0 Good 1 7 Hasty Touch 20 209 3164 142 2 0 503 317 0 211 0 Normal 1 8 Hasty Touch 20 217 3407 142 3 0 587 243 0 243 0 Normal 1 9 Hasty Touch 20 225 3682 142 4 0 670 275 0 275 0 Normal 1 10 Steady Hand 20 211 3682 142 4 0 754 0 0 0 0 Normal 1 11 Manipulation 20 131 3682 142 4 0 754 0 0 0 0 Normal 1 12 Hasty Touch 20 131 3989 142 5 0 754 307 0 307 0 Normal 1 13 Hasty Touch 20 131 4329 142 6 0 838 340 0 340 0 Normal 1 14 Hasty Touch 20 131 4702 142 7 0 922 373 0 373 0 Normal 1 15 Steady Hand II 20 106 4702 142 7 0 1006 0 0 0 0 Normal 1 16 Innovation 20 88 4702 142 7 0 1006 0 0 0 0 Normal 1 17 Great Strides 20 56 4702 142 7 0 1215 0 0 0 0 Normal 1 18 Ingenuity II 20 24 4702 142 7 0 1215 0 0 0 0 Normal 1 19 Byregot's Blessing 10 0 7072 142 0 0 1215 2370 0 2370 0 Good 1 20 Careful Synthesis II 0 0 7072 313 0 0 419 0 171 0 0 Normal 1 Progress Check: true, Durability Check: true, CP Check: true, Tricks Check: true, Reliability Check: true, Cross Class Skills: 7, Wasted Actions: 0

(Example: Buffs, Food, Synthesis Condition, Simulator/Solver Options if different from default) N/A

[doxxx]

We have a new set of formulas for progress and quality increase. These changes are available on the beta site (ffxiv-beta.lokyst.net). Please let me know if these discrepancies are resolved.