Coronavirus-Epidemic-COVID-19
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👩🏻⚕️Covid-19 estimation and forecast using statistical model; 新型冠状病毒肺炎统计模型预测 (Jan 2020)
Bumps [numpy](https://github.com/numpy/numpy) from 1.17.0 to 1.22.0. Release notes Sourced from numpy's releases. v1.22.0 NumPy 1.22.0 Release Notes NumPy 1.22.0 is a big release featuring the work of 153 contributors spread...
How is the airport catch 19 million estimated? Is the annual floating population or last two month (Nov DEC) used?
![IMG_0311](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/42597675/76922587-2042e380-690c-11ea-9ac9-4457e21b4c24.PNG)
在文件model3里的dynamic SEIR模型预测时,在每个epoch里,模型的loss不会变化,导致最后模型估算出的beta值不收敛,随着epoch数的增加会越来越低
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能帮忙解释一下model3中 Ioss 对 beta 求导, 是根据哪个公式么?我知道 loss 对 I 求导, 但是 I 对 beta 求导 是怎么计算的呢, 谢谢
使用7号之后的数据,R0变化有问题一直很高,还有就是死亡率为2%估算在代码体现是0.02才对,我看你是0.2
Bumps [joblib](https://github.com/joblib/joblib) from 0.13.2 to 1.2.0. Changelog Sourced from joblib's changelog. Release 1.2.0 Fix a security issue where eval(pre_dispatch) could potentially run arbitrary code. Now only basic numerics are supported....
Bumps [scipy](https://github.com/scipy/scipy) from 1.3.1 to 1.10.0. Release notes Sourced from scipy's releases. SciPy 1.10.0 Release Notes SciPy 1.10.0 is the culmination of 6 months of hard work. It contains many...