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Translating ML into Bayes, one line at a time

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Consider referencing Popoviciu's inequality on variances to define the upper limit of the variance for bounded continuous variables. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Popoviciu%27s_inequality_on_variances. Consider the CES-D scale in Chapter 5. The lowest score is...

* Add a basic line plot of the `opposites_pp` data at the top of the chapter, something like ```{r} opposites_pp %>% ggplot(aes(x = time, y = opp, group = id))...

Look into [this preprint](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2112.08311.pdf) referenced in [this tweet](https://twitter.com/BartosFra/status/1471495852086611977) for recent ideas around Bayesian survival analysis.