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Infinite values of the Deviance Function, unable to find optimum parameters

Open petbadger opened this issue 7 years ago • 2 comments

Just an FYI in case anyone gets a GP_deviance error. Thought I should share this, in the obscure chance it will help someone else. Took me a good 2 hours of horsing around before I found the issue.

I was playing with this example: http://rpubs.com/tdneumann/351073 which produces the error:

Error in GP_deviance(param_init_200d[i, ], X, Y, nug_thres, corr = corr) : Infinite values of the Deviance Function, unable to find optimum parameters

rBayesianOptimization imports GPfit, which has the GP_deviance function.

My silly and futile first attempt was to replicate the Rpubs example as best I could: Use Rstudio, subset the dataset to Dec 22, 2017 when the post was created, run rBayesianOptimization version 1.1.0 and GPfit version 1.0-0. Though neither of these packages appear to have been updated since the Rpubs post.

I ran my own time series data through it, and I got the same error.

Then I stumbled on what seemed to cause the issue. The Rpubs article sets init_points = 0 in the call to BayesianOptimization. Setting this to an integer greater than 0 makes the code work.

Note: Out of the fire and into another, running it with init_points=1 resulted in a warning: "In .local(object, ...) : non-zero return code in optimizing". Not sure what that's about, but the results appear good.

petbadger avatar Jun 14 '18 18:06 petbadger

When I was using my own dataset, I actually will get the same error. It appears to have to do with the parameter ranges. If one of these are wacky, it produces a Value of NaN which I think contributes to the GP deviance error.

petbadger avatar Jun 14 '18 21:06 petbadger

My init_points is greater 0 and my bounds work for most series (I loop over them). Is there another way to overcome this please? I tried using tryCatch in my loss/aqu. function. Thanks.

csetzkorn avatar Jun 25 '20 09:06 csetzkorn