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docs: Learn notebook on Neyman Construction and Interval estimation
Description
Somewhat nerd-sniped by #966 I put together this notebook that goes through the neyman construction for the 4 test statistics defined in the CCGV paper.
Some of the prose can probably be expanded but I wanted to first see how it renders in the docs.
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Patch coverage has no change and project coverage change: -1.12 :warning:
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@@ Coverage Diff @@
## main #992 +/- ##
==========================================
- Coverage 98.30% 97.18% -1.12%
==========================================
Files 69 63 -6
Lines 4534 3663 -871
Branches 802 522 -280
==========================================
- Hits 4457 3560 -897
- Misses 45 64 +19
- Partials 32 39 +7
| Flag | Coverage Δ | |
|---|---|---|
| contrib | ? |
|
| doctest | ? |
|
| unittests | 97.18% <ø> (?) |
|
| unittests-3.10 | ? |
|
| unittests-3.11 | ? |
|
| unittests-3.8 | ? |
|
| unittests-3.9 | ? |
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Docs build fine for me locally

this is my pip freeze output;
absl-py==0.9.0
alabaster==0.7.12
ansiwrap==0.8.4
appdirs==1.4.4
appnope==0.1.0
astmonkey==0.3.6
astunparse==1.6.3
async-generator==1.10
atomicwrites==1.4.0
attrs==19.3.0
awkward==0.12.21
Babel==2.8.0
backcall==0.2.0
black==19.10b0
bleach==3.1.5
bump2version==1.0.0
bumpversion==0.6.0
cachetools==4.1.1
certifi==2020.6.20
cffi==1.14.0
cfgv==3.1.0
chardet==3.0.4
check-manifest==0.42
click==7.1.2
click-completion==0.5.2
cloudpickle==1.4.1
colorama==0.4.3
coverage==5.1
cycler==0.10.0
decorator==4.4.2
defusedxml==0.6.0
descartes==1.1.0
distlib==0.3.1
docutils==0.16
entrypoints==0.3
filelock==3.0.12
future==0.18.2
gast==0.3.3
gitdb==4.0.5
GitPython==3.1.3
google-auth==1.18.0
google-auth-oauthlib==0.4.1
google-pasta==0.2.0
graphviz==0.14
grpcio==1.30.0
h5py==2.10.0
hist==1.0.6
hypothesis==5.19.3
identify==1.4.21
idna==2.10
imagesize==1.2.0
iminuit==1.4.5
importlib-metadata==1.7.0
ipykernel==5.3.0
ipython==7.16.1
ipython-genutils==0.2.0
ipywidgets==7.5.1
jax==0.1.72
jaxlib==0.1.51
jedi==0.17.1
Jinja2==2.11.2
joblib==0.16.0
json5==0.9.5
jsonpatch==1.26
jsonpointer==2.0
jsonschema==3.2.0
jupyter==1.0.0
jupyter-client==6.1.5
jupyter-console==6.1.0
jupyter-core==4.6.3
jupyterlab==2.1.5
jupyterlab-server==1.2.0
Keras-Preprocessing==1.1.2
keyring==21.2.1
kiwisolver==1.2.0
latexcodec==2.0.1
llvmlite==0.33.0
Markdown==3.2.2
MarkupSafe==1.1.1
matplotlib==3.2.2
memory-profiler==0.57.0
mistune==0.8.4
mock==4.0.2
more-itertools==8.4.0
mplhep==0.1.24
mpmath==1.1.0
nbclient==0.4.0
nbconvert==5.6.1
nbdime==2.0.0
nbformat==5.0.7
nbsphinx==0.7.1
nest-asyncio==1.3.3
networkx==2.4
nodeenv==1.4.0
nose==1.3.7
notebook==6.0.3
nteract-scrapbook==0.4.1
numba==0.50.1
numpy==1.19.0
oauthlib==3.1.0
opt-einsum==3.2.1
oset==0.1.3
packaging==20.4
pandas==1.0.5
pandoc==1.0.2
pandocfilters==1.4.2
papermill==2.1.2
parso==0.7.0
pathspec==0.8.0
pbr==5.4.5
pep517==0.8.2
pexpect==4.8.0
pickleshare==0.7.5
Pillow==7.2.0
pkginfo==1.5.0.1
pluggy==0.13.1
ply==3.11
pre-commit==2.6.0
prometheus-client==0.8.0
prompt-toolkit==3.0.5
protobuf==3.12.2
psutil==5.7.0
ptyprocess==0.6.0
py==1.9.0
py-cpuinfo==6.0.0
pyarrow==0.17.1
pyasn1==0.4.8
pyasn1-modules==0.2.8
pybtex==0.22.2
pybtex-docutils==0.2.2
pycparser==2.20
pydocstyle==5.0.2
pydot==1.4.1
pyflakes==2.2.0
pygal==2.4.0
pygaljs==1.0.2
Pygments==2.6.1
-e git+https://github.com/scikit-hep/pyhf.git@94189a2414ad25b5d3c5717d8b3fb80622794903#egg=pyhf
pyparsing==2.4.7
pyrsistent==0.16.0
pytest==3.10.1
pytest-benchmark==3.2.3
pytest-console-scripts==0.2.0
pytest-cov==2.10.0
pytest-mock==3.1.1
pytest-mpl==0.11
pytest-runner==5.2
python-dateutil==2.8.1
python-papi==5.5.1.5
pytz==2020.1
PyYAML==5.3.1
pyzmq==19.0.1
qtconsole==4.7.5
QtPy==1.9.0
readme-renderer==26.0
regex==2020.6.8
requests==2.24.0
requests-oauthlib==1.3.0
requests-toolbelt==0.9.1
rfc3986==1.4.0
rsa==4.6
scipy==1.5.0
seaborn==0.10.1
Send2Trash==1.5.0
Shapely==1.7.0
shellingham==1.3.2
six==1.15.0
smmap==3.0.4
snowballstemmer==2.0.0
sortedcontainers==2.2.2
Sphinx==3.1.2
sphinx-click==2.3.2
sphinx-copybutton==0.2.12
sphinx-issues==1.2.0
sphinx-rtd-theme==0.5.0
sphinxcontrib-applehelp==1.0.2
sphinxcontrib-bibtex==1.0.0
sphinxcontrib-devhelp==1.0.2
sphinxcontrib-htmlhelp==1.0.3
sphinxcontrib-jsmath==1.0.1
sphinxcontrib-qthelp==1.0.3
sphinxcontrib-serializinghtml==1.1.4
sympy==1.6.1
tenacity==6.2.0
tensorboard==2.2.2
tensorboard-plugin-wit==1.7.0
tensorflow==2.2.0
tensorflow-estimator==2.2.0
tensorflow-probability==0.10.0
termcolor==1.1.0
terminado==0.8.3
testpath==0.4.4
textwrap3==0.9.2
Theano==1.0.4
toml==0.10.1
torch==1.5.1
tornado==6.0.4
tqdm==4.47.0
traitlets==4.3.3
twine==3.2.0
typed-ast==1.4.1
uproot==3.11.7
uproot-methods==0.7.4
urllib3==1.25.9
virtualenv==20.0.25
wcwidth==0.2.5
webencodings==0.5.1
Werkzeug==1.0.1
widgetsnbextension==3.5.1
wrapt==1.12.1
zipp==3.1.0
nothings obvious to me
absl-py==0.9.0 absl-py==0.9.0
alabaster==0.7.12 alabaster==0.7.12
ansiwrap==0.8.4 ansiwrap==0.8.4
appdirs==1.4.4 appdirs==1.4.4
argon2-cffi==20.1.0 | appnope==0.1.0
> astmonkey==0.3.6
astunparse==1.6.3 astunparse==1.6.3
async-generator==1.10 async-generator==1.10
atomicwrites==1.4.0 atomicwrites==1.4.0
attrs==19.3.0 attrs==19.3.0
awkward==0.13.0 | awkward==0.12.21
Babel==2.8.0 Babel==2.8.0
backcall==0.2.0 backcall==0.2.0
black==19.10b0 black==19.10b0
bleach==3.1.5 bleach==3.1.5
> bump2version==1.0.0
> bumpversion==0.6.0
cachetools==4.1.1 cachetools==4.1.1
certifi==2020.6.20 certifi==2020.6.20
cffi==1.14.1 | cffi==1.14.0
> cfgv==3.1.0
chardet==3.0.4 chardet==3.0.4
> check-manifest==0.42
click==7.1.2 click==7.1.2
click-completion==0.5.2 click-completion==0.5.2
cloudpickle==1.3.0 | cloudpickle==1.4.1
coverage==5.2.1 | colorama==0.4.3
> coverage==5.1
cycler==0.10.0 cycler==0.10.0
decorator==4.4.2 decorator==4.4.2
defusedxml==0.6.0 defusedxml==0.6.0
> descartes==1.1.0
> distlib==0.3.1
docutils==0.16 docutils==0.16
entrypoints==0.3 entrypoints==0.3
> filelock==3.0.12
future==0.18.2 future==0.18.2
gast==0.3.3 gast==0.3.3
google-auth==1.20.0 | gitdb==4.0.5
> GitPython==3.1.3
> google-auth==1.18.0
google-auth-oauthlib==0.4.1 google-auth-oauthlib==0.4.1
google-pasta==0.2.0 google-pasta==0.2.0
graphviz==0.14.1 | graphviz==0.14
grpcio==1.30.0 grpcio==1.30.0
h5py==2.10.0 h5py==2.10.0
> hist==1.0.6
> hypothesis==5.19.3
> identify==1.4.21
idna==2.10 idna==2.10
imagesize==1.2.0 imagesize==1.2.0
iminuit==1.4.9 | iminuit==1.4.5
importlib-metadata==1.7.0 importlib-metadata==1.7.0
ipykernel==5.3.4 | ipykernel==5.3.0
ipython==7.17.0 | ipython==7.16.1
ipython-genutils==0.2.0 ipython-genutils==0.2.0
ipywidgets==7.5.1 ipywidgets==7.5.1
jax==0.1.75 | jax==0.1.72
jaxlib==0.1.52 | jaxlib==0.1.51
jedi==0.17.2 | jedi==0.17.1
Jinja2==2.11.2 Jinja2==2.11.2
> joblib==0.16.0
> json5==0.9.5
jsonpatch==1.26 jsonpatch==1.26
jsonpointer==2.0 jsonpointer==2.0
jsonschema==3.2.0 jsonschema==3.2.0
jupyter==1.0.0 jupyter==1.0.0
jupyter-client==6.1.6 | jupyter-client==6.1.5
jupyter-console==6.1.0 jupyter-console==6.1.0
jupyter-core==4.6.3 jupyter-core==4.6.3
> jupyterlab==2.1.5
> jupyterlab-server==1.2.0
Keras-Preprocessing==1.1.2 Keras-Preprocessing==1.1.2
> keyring==21.2.1
kiwisolver==1.2.0 kiwisolver==1.2.0
latexcodec==2.0.1 latexcodec==2.0.1
> llvmlite==0.33.0
Markdown==3.2.2 Markdown==3.2.2
MarkupSafe==1.1.1 MarkupSafe==1.1.1
matplotlib==3.3.0 | matplotlib==3.2.2
> memory-profiler==0.57.0
mistune==0.8.4 mistune==0.8.4
mock==4.0.2 mock==4.0.2
more-itertools==8.4.0 more-itertools==8.4.0
nbclient==0.4.1 | mplhep==0.1.24
> mpmath==1.1.0
> nbclient==0.4.0
nbconvert==5.6.1 nbconvert==5.6.1
> nbdime==2.0.0
nbformat==5.0.7 nbformat==5.0.7
nbsphinx==0.7.1 nbsphinx==0.7.1
nest-asyncio==1.4.0 | nest-asyncio==1.3.3
> networkx==2.4
> nodeenv==1.4.0
nose==1.3.7 nose==1.3.7
notebook==6.1.1 | notebook==6.0.3
nteract-scrapbook==0.4.1 nteract-scrapbook==0.4.1
numpy==1.19.1 | numba==0.50.1
> numpy==1.19.0
oauthlib==3.1.0 oauthlib==3.1.0
opt-einsum==3.3.0 | opt-einsum==3.2.1
oset==0.1.3 oset==0.1.3
packaging==20.4 packaging==20.4
pandas==1.1.0 | pandas==1.0.5
> pandoc==1.0.2
pandocfilters==1.4.2 pandocfilters==1.4.2
papermill==2.1.2 papermill==2.1.2
parso==0.7.1 | parso==0.7.0
pathspec==0.8.0 pathspec==0.8.0
pbr==5.4.5 pbr==5.4.5
> pep517==0.8.2
pexpect==4.8.0 pexpect==4.8.0
pickleshare==0.7.5 pickleshare==0.7.5
Pillow==7.2.0 Pillow==7.2.0
pip==20.2.1 | pkginfo==1.5.0.1
pluggy==0.13.1 pluggy==0.13.1
> ply==3.11
> pre-commit==2.6.0
prometheus-client==0.8.0 prometheus-client==0.8.0
prompt-toolkit==3.0.5 prompt-toolkit==3.0.5
protobuf==3.12.4 | protobuf==3.12.2
> psutil==5.7.0
ptyprocess==0.6.0 ptyprocess==0.6.0
py==1.9.0 py==1.9.0
py-cpuinfo==7.0.0 | py-cpuinfo==6.0.0
pyarrow==1.0.0 | pyarrow==0.17.1
pyasn1==0.4.8 pyasn1==0.4.8
pyasn1-modules==0.2.8 pyasn1-modules==0.2.8
pybtex==0.22.2 pybtex==0.22.2
pybtex-docutils==0.2.2 pybtex-docutils==0.2.2
pycparser==2.20 pycparser==2.20
pydocstyle==5.0.2 pydocstyle==5.0.2
> pydot==1.4.1
> pyflakes==2.2.0
pygal==2.4.0 pygal==2.4.0
pygaljs==1.0.2 pygaljs==1.0.2
Pygments==2.6.1 Pygments==2.6.1
pyhf==0.5.2.dev13 | -e git+https://github.com/scikit-hep/pyhf.git@94189a2414ad25b
pyparsing==2.4.7 pyparsing==2.4.7
pyrsistent==0.16.0 pyrsistent==0.16.0
pytest==3.10.1 pytest==3.10.1
pytest-benchmark==3.2.3 pytest-benchmark==3.2.3
pytest-console-scripts==0.2.0 pytest-console-scripts==0.2.0
pytest-cov==2.10.0 pytest-cov==2.10.0
pytest-mock==3.2.0 | pytest-mock==3.1.1
pytest-mpl==0.11 pytest-mpl==0.11
pytest-runner==5.2 pytest-runner==5.2
python-dateutil==2.8.1 python-dateutil==2.8.1
> python-papi==5.5.1.5
pytz==2020.1 pytz==2020.1
PyYAML==5.3.1 PyYAML==5.3.1
pyzmq==19.0.2 | pyzmq==19.0.1
qtconsole==4.7.5 qtconsole==4.7.5
QtPy==1.9.0 QtPy==1.9.0
regex==2020.7.14 | readme-renderer==26.0
> regex==2020.6.8
requests==2.24.0 requests==2.24.0
requests-oauthlib==1.3.0 requests-oauthlib==1.3.0
> requests-toolbelt==0.9.1
> rfc3986==1.4.0
rsa==4.6 rsa==4.6
scipy==1.5.2 | scipy==1.5.0
> seaborn==0.10.1
Send2Trash==1.5.0 Send2Trash==1.5.0
setuptools==49.2.1 | Shapely==1.7.0
shellingham==1.3.2 shellingham==1.3.2
six==1.15.0 six==1.15.0
> smmap==3.0.4
snowballstemmer==2.0.0 snowballstemmer==2.0.0
> sortedcontainers==2.2.2
Sphinx==3.1.2 Sphinx==3.1.2
sphinx-click==2.5.0 | sphinx-click==2.3.2
sphinx-copybutton==0.3.0 | sphinx-copybutton==0.2.12
sphinx-issues==1.2.0 sphinx-issues==1.2.0
sphinx-rtd-theme==0.5.0 sphinx-rtd-theme==0.5.0
sphinxcontrib-applehelp==1.0.2 sphinxcontrib-applehelp==1.0.2
sphinxcontrib-bibtex==1.0.0 sphinxcontrib-bibtex==1.0.0
sphinxcontrib-devhelp==1.0.2 sphinxcontrib-devhelp==1.0.2
sphinxcontrib-htmlhelp==1.0.3 sphinxcontrib-htmlhelp==1.0.3
sphinxcontrib-jsmath==1.0.1 sphinxcontrib-jsmath==1.0.1
sphinxcontrib-qthelp==1.0.3 sphinxcontrib-qthelp==1.0.3
sphinxcontrib-serializinghtml==1.1.4 sphinxcontrib-serializinghtml==1.1.4
> sympy==1.6.1
tenacity==6.2.0 tenacity==6.2.0
tensorboard==2.2.2 tensorboard==2.2.2
tensorboard-plugin-wit==1.7.0 tensorboard-plugin-wit==1.7.0
tensorflow==2.2.0 tensorflow==2.2.0
tensorflow-estimator==2.2.0 tensorflow-estimator==2.2.0
tensorflow-probability==0.10.1 | tensorflow-probability==0.10.0
termcolor==1.1.0 termcolor==1.1.0
terminado==0.8.3 terminado==0.8.3
testpath==0.4.4 testpath==0.4.4
textwrap3==0.9.2 textwrap3==0.9.2
> Theano==1.0.4
toml==0.10.1 toml==0.10.1
torch==1.6.0 | torch==1.5.1
tornado==6.0.4 tornado==6.0.4
tqdm==4.48.2 | tqdm==4.47.0
traitlets==4.3.3 traitlets==4.3.3
> twine==3.2.0
typed-ast==1.4.1 typed-ast==1.4.1
uproot==3.12.0 | uproot==3.11.7
uproot-methods==0.7.4 uproot-methods==0.7.4
urllib3==1.25.10 | urllib3==1.25.9
> virtualenv==20.0.25
wcwidth==0.2.5 wcwidth==0.2.5
webencodings==0.5.1 webencodings==0.5.1
Werkzeug==1.0.1 Werkzeug==1.0.1
wheel==0.34.2 <
widgetsnbextension==3.5.1 widgetsnbextension==3.5.1
wrapt==1.12.1 wrapt==1.12.1
zipp==3.1.0 zipp==3.1.0